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Josh Allen
BUF
QB · Week 2 · Half PPR
Current week
Past weeks
Sportsbook Projection
25.63
Blended
24.55
Blended
DFS Projection
Sportsbook Projection
25.0 24.5 24.0 Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 17
24.0 23.5 23.0 Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 17
26.5 26.0 25.5 25.0 Sep 15 Sep 16 Sep 17
DFS projections
Source Projected Points
PrizePicks 23.00 Underdog 23.95
Average of the sources above = 23.48, feeding into the blend as the "DFS Projection" number.
Sportsbook markets
Passing TDs
Exact count
· 1.93 TD × 4 pts/TD = 7.72 pts
Line
Chance over
ⓘ
Books
ⓘ
0.5
86.0%
8
1.5
59.0%
14
2.5
30.4%
8
3.5
12.5%
8
4.5
5.1%
3
Rush/Receiving TDs
Exact count
· 0.85 TD × 6 pts/TD = 5.12 pts
Line
Chance over
ⓘ
Books
ⓘ
0.5
59.3%
9
1.5
20.7%
7
2.5
5.3%
6
Passing Yards
Estimated from odds
· 254.16 yds × 0.04 pts/yds = 10.17 pts
Line
Chance over
ⓘ
Books
ⓘ
169.5
88.2%
1
174.5
84.8%
3
179.5
85.2%
1
189.5
81.7%
1
199.5
77.7%
7
209.5
73.1%
2
219.5
67.3%
2
224.5
65.6%
4
229.5
61.1%
3
234.5
59.4%
1
239.5
55.9%
3
244.5
54.6%
1
249.5
51.4%
10
254.5
50.0%
3
259.5
45.9%
3
264.5
46.3%
1
269.5
41.2%
3
274.5
37.9%
5
279.5
37.0%
3
284.5
39.0%
1
289.5
32.5%
3
294.5
35.4%
1
299.5
26.5%
8
304.5
32.2%
1
309.5
24.9%
3
314.5
28.5%
1
319.5
21.4%
3
324.5
18.6%
4
329.5
18.3%
3
334.5
22.9%
1
339.5
15.6%
3
344.5
20.0%
1
349.5
11.5%
7
354.5
17.9%
1
359.5
10.8%
3
364.5
15.7%
1
369.5
8.7%
3
374.5
7.7%
4
379.5
8.1%
2
384.5
11.4%
1
389.5
6.8%
2
394.5
9.6%
1
399.5
3.0%
1
409.5
2.5%
1
Rushing Yards
Estimated from odds
· 39.29 yds × 0.1 pts/yds = 3.93 pts
Line
Chance over
ⓘ
Books
ⓘ
9.5
87.9%
4
14.5
81.4%
3
19.5
72.2%
6
24.5
63.8%
4
29.5
54.1%
7
39.5
38.6%
6
49.5
26.2%
7
59.5
16.9%
6
69.5
10.9%
5
74.5
11.6%
1
79.5
6.9%
4
89.5
5.3%
3
99.5
4.7%
2
110.5
2.5%
1
124.5
4.8%
1
Interceptions
Exact count
· 0.65 INT × -2 pts/INT = -1.3 pts
Line
Chance over
ⓘ
Books
ⓘ
0.5
42.0%
7
1.5
12.6%
3
2.5
10.5%
1
Projected vs. actual, by week
Only one completed week so far — this becomes a graph once there's more than one.
Projection as it stood on Sep 10, the last reading captured before
that week's kickoff; actual points use the same scoring rules, real stats only (no fumbles/2-point/
return yardage — neither projection is trying to predict those either).
DFS Projection
19.48
Sportsbook Projection
20.02
Blended (Week 1)
19.75
Actual (+16.0 vs. Blended)
35.70